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Global climate march 2015: hundreds of thousands march around the world – as it happened

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 Updated 
in Sydney, in London and in New York
Sun 29 Nov 2015 16.44 ESTFirst published on Sat 28 Nov 2015 19.36 EST
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Sydney marchers are also warming up – as is the weather, with that blue sky deciding to put in an appearance after all – and is expected to be the biggest Australian march of the day. Will NSW be able to best Melbourne’s 40,000+ from Friday?

Reader Tim Senior and friends are well stocked with placards for the Sydney rally:

On our way to the #peoplesclimate #climatemarch. On public transport of course! pic.twitter.com/FMs5JiOPXZ

— Tim Senior (@timsenior) November 29, 2015

A reminder: do keep your pictures, videos, thoughts and headcounts coming, to me directly @Claire_Phipps or via the blue GuardianWitness button at the top of the blog. Thank you!

My colleague Shalailah Medhora is at the Canberra march, which has just started. She estimates there are around 3,000 people there so far:

And they're off! Around 3,000 on the march to the tent embassy. @Claire_Phipps pic.twitter.com/Def0zmsbqz

— Shalailah Medhora (@shalailah) November 29, 2015

"There are no climate sceptics at the end of a hose". ACT firefighters union at climate rally. @Claire_Phipps pic.twitter.com/HYP0ASWQoC

— Shalailah Medhora (@shalailah) November 29, 2015

I’ll be tracking the progress of the Canberra march – along with the others today – on this live blog, plus you can keep an eye on it via @shalailah.

Many thousands of people marched in New Zealand on Saturday, with more events today: check here for those listings.

An estimated 7,000 turned out in Wellington:

@Claire_Phipps we had a fantastic turn out in Wellington yesterday! #ClimateMarch pic.twitter.com/rFlsGye4YB

— Torken Faddy (@TFaddy) November 29, 2015

And there were around 15,000 marchers in Auckland, with 8,000 more in Christchurch:

Protesters of all ages marched in Christchurch, New Zealand, on Saturday. Photograph: PJ Heller/ZUMA Press/Corbis

What is likely to be agreed in Paris?

Fiona Harvey
Fiona Harvey

We know already what the biggest emitters have committed to:

Nations responsible for more than 90% of global emissions have now come up with their targets – known in the UN jargon as intended nationally determined contributions, or INDCs.

These include all of the major developed and developing countries, though their contributions vary: in the case of developed countries, actual cuts in emissions, but for developing countries a range of targets including limits on emissions compared to “business as usual”, and pledges to increase low-carbon energy or preserve forests.

Analysis of the INDCS, endorsed by the UN, has suggested that these pledges are enough to hold the world to about 2.7C or 3C of warming. That is not quite enough to meet the scientific advice.

However, that is not the end of the story. One of the key components of any Paris agreement would be to institute a system of review of the emissions targets every five years, with a view to ratcheting them upwards.

Another, and complementary, approach is to make more effort to bring down emissions outside the UN process, for instance by engaging “non-state actors” such as cities, local governments and businesses to do more.

Adelaide march begins

The Adelaide rally is underway and it’s a good turnout, estimated in the thousands:

Over 5000 in #Adelaide marching for jobs, justice & a safe #climate! #peoplesclimate #climatemarch pic.twitter.com/bn7LsXdm4f

— AYCC (@AYCC) November 29, 2015

Huge turnout for the #adelaide #peoplesclimate march pic.twitter.com/5eD9KDQWIX

— Michael Garrod (@MickyJim74) November 29, 2015

Marching for our planet! #climatemarch #adelaide #climatechange #peoplesclimate pic.twitter.com/IPVvmxVTcz

— Mike Crowhurst (@TheCunningCrow) November 29, 2015

A reminder: you can contribute your own pictures and videos via the blue GuardianWitness button at the top of this live blog, and/or to me @Claire_Phipps.

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Avaaz, the campaign group behind the march, says more than 120,000 people have already taken part – with thousands of rallies yet to take place on Sunday, the main day of action.

Thousands of people marched in Brisbane on Saturday – organisers put it at 10,000 – and more in Darwin, following Friday’s 40,000-strong rally in Melbourne.

Organisers said thousands took part in 35 New Zealand locations – the smallest being on Raoul Island, where the island’s entire population of seven turned out.

My colleague Melissa Davey was at the Melbourne march on Friday evening and sent this report:

Thousands of people were marching through Melbourne’s CBD on Friday evening in what is expected to the largest in a series of climate change protests being held throughout Australia over the weekend.

They gathered in front of the state library and, as the lawns filled with protesters putting finishing touches on their placards, they took to the surrounding roads just in time for peak hour.

Environmentalists, unionists, religious organisations, youth groups, doctors, Indigenous organisations, and people from the aid and development sector were part of the crowd. Police estimates put the crowd numbers by the end of the night at about 40,000, but organisers said 60,000 turned out for the event.

Why Paris, why now?

After the terrorist attacks of 13 November, the meeting of world leaders in the French capital beginning on Monday has an added poignancy.

But the COP 21 talks – it stands for conference of the parties, the yearly United Nations climate change conference; this is the 21st – will focus on hammering out a new global agreement to reduce global greenhouse gas emissions and with them the threat of climate change.

Here are a couple of key questions answered by the Guardian’s environment reporter Fiona Harvey:

Why now?

Current commitments on greenhouse gas emissions run out in 2020, so at Paris governments are expected to produce an agreement on what happens for the decade after that at least, and potentially beyond.

Why is this important?

Scientists have warned that if greenhouse gas emissions continue to rise, we will pass the threshold beyond which global warming becomes catastrophic and irreversible. That threshold is estimated as a temperature rise of 2C above pre-industrial levels, and on current emissions trajectories we are heading for a rise of about 5C.

That may not sound like much, but the temperature difference between today’s world and the last ice age was about 5C, so seemingly small changes in temperature can mean big differences for the Earth.

Will world leaders go to Paris?

Yes. The heads of state or government of more than 130 countries have already said they will come. These include French president Francois Hollande, Barack Obama of the US, Xi Jinping of China, Narendra Modi of India, Angela Merkel of Germany, Australia’s Malcolm Turnbull, John Key of New Zealand and David Cameron of the UK.

Unlike the Copenhagen talks in 2009, however, at which world leaders turned up at the last minute of the two weeks of talks, this time the leaders will arrive at the beginning of the conference, give their negotiating teams clear instructions, and expect a fully formed agreement at the end of it.

Marches in Australia

Some Australian cities have already met and marched, with Melbourne getting in first on Friday evening, and Darwin and Brisbane on Saturday. I’ll have reports and pictures from those marches on this live blog shortly, along with news from New Zealand, which held most of its events on Saturday too.

Here’s the line-up for today:

Adelaide: Action started from 11am local (11.30am AEDT) at Ester Lipman Gardens, adjacent to the Torrens Parade Ground.

Canberra: Speakers from 12 midday at Parliament Lawns before the march to the Tent Embassy grounds and West Lawns.

Sydney: Marchers are asked to gather at 12.30 for a 1pm start from the Domain.

Hobart: March begins at 1pm from Parliament Lawns.

Perth: Another 1pm start (4pm AEDT), from Wellington Square.

Plus a heap of other marches – if one can heap a march – in other towns and cities: check out the list on the People’s Climate March website.

Opening summary

Claire Phipps
Claire Phipps

Welcome to live coverage of the global climate march – a continent-spanning series of rallies which organisers hope will see millions of people join to highlight the need for a worldwide consensus on tackling climate change ahead of the COP21 talks in Paris, which open tomorrow.

I’ll be kicking off this live blog from Sydney, handing over later to colleagues in London and New York, and aiming to bring you updates from marches in all those places and everywhere in between.

Last year, tens of thousands of people demonstrated in London, Paris, Berlin and Brussels; thousands more turned out in Sydney and Brisbane, with 30,000 thronging the streets of Melbourne. In New York, more than 300,000 marchers took part, on a day of 2,700 simultaneous climate events worldwide.

This year, marchers will not be able to rally in Paris, the home of the climate talks starting on Monday – demonstrations were cancelled in the wake of the 13 November terror attacks. Instead, others have been encouraged by Parisians to #March4Me; we’ll be keeping an eye on that campaign throughout the day.

If you’re taking part in the marches and want to share a story, an observation, a pun or a picture, please do get in touch below the line or give me a shout on Twitter @Claire_Phipps. I’ll tweet key developments from there too.

You can also share your pictures and videos of the march via GuardianWitness here or the blue button at the top of the blog, just up there.

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